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Anticipating a Recession

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Anticipating a Recession 

By Ralph Goldsticker | 10 September 2018

As seen in the chart below, there is little evidence that economists are anticipating a recession in the next year. Because recession periods are classified after the fact, it is not surprising that economists’ forecasts peak deep into the recession periods (where lines intersect shaded areas). However, their forecasts generally rose in advance of the recessions. 

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